(Bloomberg) — U.S. equity futures climbed after the White House appeared to shift tack and signaled the Trump administration is again leaning toward a large-scale stimulus bill. The dollar fell.
S&P 500 contracts were about 0.5% higher following news that Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Nancy Pelosi that President Donald Trump wants agreement on a comprehensive aid package. Shares in Japan dipped, while those in Australia rose. Chinese equities advanced as markets reopened after a week-long holiday. The offshore yuan climbed following a stronger-than-anticipated daily currency fixing.
The U.S. benchmark earlier closed up despite conflicting comments from Trump and Pelosi that whipsawed markets. Gains for crude oil eased as Hurricane Delta approached the already battered Louisiana coast. Treasuries ticked higher and gold climbed.
Global equities are edging back toward last month’s all-time high and are having the best week since the start of July with investors increasingly betting that a Joe Biden victory in the November election and gains by Democrats in Congress will support stocks. The scenario seems to be somewhat quelling volatility even as risks from a split in government to a resurgence of coronavirus cases threaten the economic rebound. Trump’s doctor said he expects the president to safely return to public engagements by Saturday following treatment for Covid-19.
We are seeing “an increasing probability of, let’s call it, the blue wave,” Abby Joseph Cohen, senior investment strategist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said on Bloomberg TV. That “might not be such a bad thing, because that would give us more certainty with regard to policy, particularly with the use of fiscal policy to help our economy at this point.”
Prospects for an agreement on a stimulus package in Washington remain uncertain