DEEP DIVE
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D.A. Davidson senior analyst David Konrad recommends buying shares of Morgan Stanley and J.P. Morgan Chase because of their varied business mixes, strong capital and an expected decline in credit costs.
(Updates article with comments from David Konrad of D.A. Davidson about Morgan Stanley’s deal to acquire Eaton Vance and loan-loss provisioning activity.)

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Bank stocks typically drop during recessions. This time around, with the big players well-capitalized, largely free from the worst of loan loss set-asides and benefitting from a rebounding economy, investors may be looking at an opportunity staring them in the face.
And the biggest banks have clear advantages: fees from investment banking and asset management. (Below are tables showing expected and historical provisions for loan losses, non-interest income, earnings per share and analysts’ ratings for the largest dozen U.S. banks.)
The hot space — asset management
Morgan Stanley (MS) has been making moves to become a premier asset manager. On Thursday, the firm said it would acquire Eaton Vance Corp. (EV) for $7 billion in cash and stock. Eaton Vance had $507 billion in assents under management as of July 31, and Morgan Stanley said the merger would bring assets under management for its Morgan Stanley Investment Management unit to $1.2 trillion.
Just on Oct. 2, Morgan Stanley completed its acquisition of discount broker E-Trade Financial. At that time, the bank said the firm’s total assets under management (AUM) had risen to $3.3 trillion. That makes for a pro forma total of $3.8 trillion in AUM, assuming the Eaton Vance acquisition is completed following regulatory approval.
A Twitter posting from Stephanie Link of HighTower Advisors underlined how hot the asset management business is:
Big consolidation in wealth management space this morning with Morgan Stanley buying Eaton Vance for $7B. Comes