Table of Contents
- 1 CEE MARKETS
- 2 SNAPSHOT
- 3 AT 0955 CET
- 4 CURRENCIES
- 5 27.1600
- 6 27.1800
- 7 +0.07%
- 8 -6.36%
- 9 357.2000
- 10 357.5000
- 11 +0.08%
- 12 -7.29%
- 13 4.4800
- 14 4.4900
- 15 +0.22%
- 16 -4.99%
- 17 4.8725
- 18 4.8735
- 19 +0.02%
- 20 -1.73%
- 21 7.5670
- 22 7.5670
- 23 +0.00%
- 24 -1.61%
- 25 117.4600
- 26 117.5600
- 27 +0.09%
- 28 +0.09%
- 29 1800 CET
- 30 875.41
- 31 874.6800
- 32 +0.08%
- 33 -21.53%
- 34 33460.14
- 35 33697.94
- 36 -0.71%
- 37 -27.39%
- 38 1694.25
- 39 1719.91
- 40 -1.49%
- 41 -21.20%
- 42 8906.97
- 43 8875.47
- 44 +0.35%
- 45 -10.73%
- 46 835.43
- 47 836.55
- 48 -0.13%
- 49 -9.77%
- 50 1614.80
- 51 1615.94
- 52 -0.07%
- 53 -19.96%
- 54 692.04
- 55 691.75
- 56 +0.04%
- 57 -13.68%
- 58 421.98
- 59 421.65
- 60 +0.08%
- 61 -25.73%
- 62 0.0660
- 63 -0.0160
- 64 0.5780
- 65 -0.0130
- 66 0.9310
- 67 -0.0380
- 68 0.0240
- 69 -0.0100
- 70 0.5580
- 71 -0.0060
- 72 1.3090
- 73 -0.0180
- 74 FORWARD
- 75 0.29
- 76 0.29
- 77 0.34
- 78 0.35
- 79 0.89
- 80 0.91
- 81 0.95
- 82 0.76
- 83 0.19
- 84 0.19
- 85 0.19
- 86 0.22
- 87 **************************************************************
BUDAPEST, Oct 9 (Reuters) – Central European currencies firmed on Friday, with the Hungarian forint extending gains after a lower-than-expected September inflation reading took pressure off the central bank and the trade balance posted a sizeable surplus in August.
While the decline in inflation temporarily relieves the National Bank of Hungary, which is battling inflation and deepening recession worries, risks in Central European and emerging markets are high as COVID-19 cases spike.
“The slowing pace of recovery in CEE and the rising number of new COVID-19 cases will likely keep risks elevated,” Morgan Stanley analysts said in a note.
“While we think that the benign September inflation print will ease some of the pressure for the (Hungarian) central bank to deliver tighter monetary conditions, we think that it is too early for it to consider realigning the one-week depo rate to the base rate at 0.60%.”
The bank hiked the one-week depo rate by 15 basis points to 0.75% on Sept. 25, which helped shore up the weakening forint and reverse a negative trend.
On Friday, the forint EURHUF= was up 0.1% at 357.20 to the euro, after it outperformed peers on Thursday.
Hungary posted a foreign trade surplus of 251 million euros ($295.98 million) in August, above analyst forecasts for 140 million.
The Czech crown EURCZK= was also 0.1% firmer, even though the Czech Republic’s daily cases of the novel coronavirus rose to 5,394 on Thursday, the third record tally in a row.
“Thursday was a bad day for the CZK rates, (on) the long end dropping by 6 bps on disappointing retail sales, a record number of new COVID-19 cases and tighter government restrictions announced in the afternoon,” Komercni Banka trader Marek Lesko said in a morning note on Friday.
The Czech government will tighten anti-coronavirus measures from next week, with new curbs on sports and cultural venues and restaurants as the country struggles with a surge of new cases, Health Minister Roman Prymula said on Thursday. nL8N2GZ4SK
Stocks were mixed, with Bucharest’s blue chip index .BETI firming 0.3% while Warsaw’s .WIG20 and Budapest’s .BUX weakened 1.5% and 0.7%, respectively.
CEE MARKETS
SNAPSHOT
AT 0955 CET
CURRENCIES
Latest
Previous
Daily
Change
bid
close
change
in 2020
Czech crown
EURCZK=
27.1600
27.1800
+0.07%
-6.36%
Hungary forint
EURHUF=
357.2000
357.5000
+0.08%
-7.29%
Polish zloty
EURPLN=
4.4800
4.4900
+0.22%
-4.99%
Romanian leu
EURRON=
4.8725
4.8735
+0.02%
-1.73%
Croatian kuna
EURHRK=
7.5670
7.5670
+0.00%
-1.61%
Serbian dinar
EURRSD=
117.4600
117.5600
+0.09%
+0.09%
Note: daily change
calculated from
1800 CET
Latest
Previous
Daily
Change
close
change
in 2020
Prague
.PX
875.41
874.6800
+0.08%
-21.53%
Budapest
.BUX
33460.14
33697.94
-0.71%
-27.39%
Warsaw
.WIG20
1694.25
1719.91
-1.49%
-21.20%
Bucharest
.BETI
8906.97
8875.47
+0.35%
-10.73%
Ljubljana
.SBITOP
835.43
836.55
-0.13%
-9.77%
Zagreb
.CRBEX
1614.80
1615.94
-0.07%
-19.96%
Belgrade
.BELEX15
692.04
691.75
+0.04%
-13.68%
Sofia
.SOFIX
421.98
421.65
+0.08%
-25.73%
Yield
Yield
Spread
Daily
(bid)
change
vs Bund
change in
Czech Republic
spread
2-year
CZ2YT=RR
0.0660
-0.0160
+077bps
-2bps
5-year
CZ5YT=RR
0.5780
-0.0130
+131bps
-1bps
10-year
CZ10YT=RR
0.9310
-0.0380
+146bps
-3bps
Poland
2-year
PL2YT=RR
0.0240
-0.0100
+073bps
-1bps
5-year
PL5YT=RR
0.5580
-0.0060
+129bps
+0bps
10-year
PL10YT=RR
1.3090
-0.0180
+184bps
-1bps
FORWARD
3×6
6×9
9×12
3M interbank
Czech Rep
CZKFRAPRIBOR=
0.29
0.29
0.34
0.35
Hungary
HUFFRABUBOR=
0.89
0.91
0.95
0.76
Poland
PLNFRAWIBOR=
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.22
Note: FRA quotes
are for ask prices
**************************************************************
($1 = 0.8480 euros)
(Reporting by Krisztina Than; editing by Uttaresh.V)
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.